Australia v India World Cup Semi Final Match Prediction & Betting Tips

This will be one of the most thrilling matches of this world cup. India is riding high with confidence on their superb all round performance though their batting still has lots of patches. Kohli hasn’t had much of luck and Dhoni didn’t get a chance to be the script writer for a grand finale. At the top if one misfires then another gets lucky and that’s how India batting was never put to any test. They remain un beaten so far and it seems they are going to meet their nemesis in this Semi Final match.

Kangaroos looked chicken against Wahab Riyaz’s “goli” and their opening firing line up looks misfiring most of the time. They have some really good finisher and most of them do play cameo every now and then provided they get chance or Smith always steals the limelight. I’m not sure what the hell Clarke is doing in the middle. He can be replaced with an allrounder and Australia will be gain more strength. Smith is good for captaincy as well.

So what we have seen so far presents us a situation where India’s all round skills will be tested against equally all round performance of home team. India have been in Australia so long that they have made Australia as another home. Thanks to ever growing Indian spectators in the stadium it will be more of a home match of India than an away clash on alien soil.

SCG is high scoring ground and even 400 is possible on a good day of batting. Chasing high score (300+) will be tough for any team. India’s batsmen always look terrified of Aussie’s pace and Johnson always go after Indians. Kangaroos will enter the match with a mission in hand, bowl as many short balls as possible and let Indian batsmen do the rest of work for them in getting out. They are well aware of India’s vulnerability and they know how to exploit them.

Indian openers will fall cheap, one will nick outgoing ball to wicketkeeper another one give sitter to slip. Kohli, Rahane or Raina will come to rescue in middle and with assistance from Dhoni supported by Jadeja they can manage some decent score. It will be tough to reach 300 but I’m not ruling it out.

Indian bowling has been quite sensational and I see no reason why they will stop pushing it further. Kangaroos will be troubled by Indian pace attack and if spinners get some assistance from pitch then Kangaroos can only hop on into pavilion. Maxwell likes whacking Indian bowlers and he will go after Jadeja and Ashwin for sure no matter how many fielders you field at mid wicket. Finch has been quiet in this series so he might wake up as well. Don’t expect much from Warner he is more of miss than hit. Smith is dangerous, Watson is like wall in the middle. If Faulkner gets chance then he will also whack Indian bowlers.

Overall it’s a very tight match.

I’ll take Australia as favourite and trade. Aus odds are around 1.44 so it will jump around a lot if India is doing good. Otherwise I’ll take 1.44 and trade with that. It’s enough to give plenty of trading and scalping opportunities.

Lambi looking good for 300+.

Full paisa wasul tamasha is guaranteed in this match.

More insights on this match. Some stats to start with...

Australia have won 12 out of 13 matches against India at SCG. Last time India won at this ground was 7 years ago. In last 3 years Australia have never lost a single match.

Stats, conditions, performance and the fact that it's Australia's home ground favour Australia. I'll also favour Australia in my tradings.

My Betfair (Click here to open account and get £25 FREE) trading strategy will be based on team batting first.

If India bats first then the best option is to back them first and at the interval lay to hedge. India's odds are 3.0 (Rs. 2) which is ridiculously high. Odds of 3.0 gives only 33% chance to India to win the match which we all know is not the fact based on India's recent performance. 40-45% is my take on India. India scoring 300+ will give us bumper jackpot. Odds will come down to around 2 or less.

If Australia's bat first then scalp wickets. Start laying them as soon as Warner start whacking Indian bowlers and keep backing all the way with incremental stakes till wicket falls and then back to hedge. Repeat this strategy till Smith & Watson come in. Both will stabilize the team in case of early wicket falls. Don't do anything during this stage. If odds fall further then lay more few times. Remember to keep backing as well to keep profit on both sides or at least no loss on one side. Australia's odds is around 1.45 (45p) start laying them from 1.39 (39p).

This match will be between both team's nerves and skills. Any team who enters the arena with high confidence and self believe will win the match. This is exactly what happened between NZ-SA match. Not to mention aggressiveness will also play crucial role.

Brendon McCullum showed aggressiveness which sets the tone for Kiwis. For me this was the main factor in NZ's victory. Without him NZ would have succumbed to the pressure that is for sure.

Aus had deep batting line up which India lacks. India's batting ends with Dhoni and after that we have no hope. In run chase as long as Dhoni is on crease we will have hope. Don't count on tailenders Jadeja et al. to win the match. If openers and middle order fails for India then they can kiss shining trophy good bye and head home to play gilli danda aka IPL.

Both teams are capable of chasing 300+ so don't give up hope if things go wrong in 1st innings trading. You can carry it over to chase.

Bowling will be the deciding factor, if pitch assists movements then both team's bowlers will dominate and it will become low scoring and dull affair.

To sum up don't gamble but trade and make profit irrespective of match result.

जय हो बृहस्पति बाबा की। गोरा क हर हिसाब से जीत लगत ह। बाकि क एनालिसिस ऊपर सब पब्लिक पहले से ही कर देले ह त हमें टिप्पड़ी देवे क जरुरत नहीं ह। दुन्नो तरफ कमाई करा, एक टीम पर खेल के रिस्क मत ल नहीं त बर्बाद हो जइबा तू लोग।

India ko itna kam mat mano yajman log. Hum to chalenge tirange ke saath aur Australia ke sitare gardish me kar denge. Apna 2 peti hai India par. Sab logon se anurodh hai ki match suru hone se pahle Ganesh ji ki puja karen.

Betting Adda's colour is blue so is India's Cricket team's colour. Back boys in blue with heart and with mind and you wouldn't loose health or wealth. I'll go with Munna Bhai's tips and will try to make profit on both teams. Those who are entering the market with aim to back one team will be the real loser in the end. If you are lost in the cacophony of viral messages on watsapp, divided feedback on this page and your heart and mind then it's better do not gamble at all if you don't have chances of trading.

I've read all those watsapp messages and have been reading well before WC started. Those who fall for such total crap should get a life. It's 21st century and people like Jesus walk on water in every other UT video.

India are all set to take on Australia on what is set to be a high voltage Semi - Final at the Sydney Cricket Ground. Expectations from both the countries are tremendous and if only you come to India will you know the significance of this. Offices are shut, shops closed & punting seems to be at full swing. The overwhelming feeling in India is that MS Dhoni & his men will pull off their best and beat Australia after a summer of average displays against them.

As I speak, Australia have won the toss and will be batting first. That gives Australia a huge advantage. Both teams would have wanted to bat first, but if Australia put a big score, it could become really really difficult for this famed Australian batting lineup.

On paper, Australia look the more balanced and better side, but the stats have it, Virat Kohli is a champion for India. He has scored a century on 14 occasions when India have been chasing; on 13 off those occasions, India has emerged victorious. India will be hoping that Shikhar Dhawan comes good too; whenever Dhawan gets a move on and scores a 50+; India win all their matches. Now that is some key indicator. So, what do these teams look like, Head to Head.

Head to Head

In all of India vs Australia games, Australia have held the slight edge with over 117 games that these two games have played. 40 of the 117 is here India stands in terms of victories; Australia with 67 and 10 matches in a no result.

As far as head to head in World Cup games are concerned, 10 matches have been played and the Australians lead India 7 to 3.

But, they are playing at the Sydney Cricket Ground and Australia lead India to a huge margin in the 14 games that they have played. Australia have won 12, India 1. India’s only win came in that 1st final in 2008 when Sachin Tendulkar played that magnificent innings.

Tournament Records

None of India or Australia’s batsmen feature in the top 10 of the record books in this World Cup but 2 of Australia & India’s bowlers feature in the top 3. Both, Mitchell Starc & Mohammed Shami find themselves there. They have been exceptional in this tourmaline thus far getting movement on a consistent basis. Both have opened the innings extremely well for their respective teams and have also had another parallel of getting wickets every time they start a new spell.

Starc though has been fantastic at the fag end of an innings too. Starc has 18 scalps in 6 innings this World Cup, Shami trails closely with 17 from 6 innings.

Current Form

Both teams have been playing tremendously well. They are both big teams. India have won 7 off their 7 games & Australia with the exception of that game against New Zealand, have been outstanding too.

Pitch & Conditions

The pitch at the Sydney Cricket Ground is hard, straw coloured and full of runs. It is really hard and dry. There in no covering of grass and you could expect a score of 300 plus if the side gets a good start. The atmosphere promises to be 70% a sea of blue instead of gold which prompted Michael Clarke to take to Twitter to urge the Australian fans to come out and support their team in large numbers. This does give India their best chance since the SCG is the driest wicket in Australia.

Should be a fine day at Sydney with a temperate of 27 degrees forecasted. There are slight chances of a shower later in the evening but it looks great as the Australians took the field early in the morning.

Players to watch out for

Mitchell Starc has been Australia’s bowler of this tournament. In fact, he has looked the best bowler despite Trent Boult’s findings. Mitchell Johnson was the fancied bowler before the World Cup began but Starc has taken over the mantle of leader of the attack from Johnson and has done splendidly well. Australia will be looking to Starc to get some early scalps when India are chasing. The Sydney wicket looks flat but Starc should get some help if the overhead conditions become slightly damp. He will love the fact that he will be bowling under lights against this powerful batting lineup.

Glenn Maxwell has been in ominous striking form this tournament. He has hit bowlers off their length and made perfect use of the batting power play whenever he has been given the opportunity. He has hit in innocuous areas off the field giving the opposition captain lots to worry about.

Steven Smith scored big against this Indian team in the Test series and with him now batting at No. 3, Australia will be looking to him to play sheet anchor along with Michael Clarke.

Rohit Sharma has been taunted by Indian fans to be a minnow bully as all his runs seem to come against the Associate nations before his patch of failures against good sides. That though, does not hold true, especially in the last 2 games. In his last match against the Australians, Rohit Sharma got a century. That was in the first match of the Tri-Series. And the game before that, Rohit got his double century at Bangalore.

Virat Kohli is India’s big match player. He has spoken about dreaming about occasions like these as a kid and there has been no better occasion to beat Australia. India will be chasing in this game against Australia and Virat Kohli has scored 14 centuries when India has chased. As mentioned above, India has won 13 off those games.

Prediction

A. This game is as close as it gets. Most pundits have said 50-50. Australia will be batting first and it will be important for them to put on a score of 300+. If that happens, the scoreboard pressure could put India this pump.

B. Having said that, this Indian side is a different one and they are not intimidated by the occasion.

C. I think India will pip Australia and just get over the line in the dying stages of this match. Should be one heck of a game.

So that’s that then, Australia have set India a target of 329 to chase. At one point there, it looked like Australia could make 370 on a flat SCG wicket. But, the Indian bowlers got quick wickets right after the Power Play to peg Australia back. Ravichandran Ashwin was the standout there for India as he restricted the Aussies from blasting away and got a couple of important wickets, especially that of Glenn Maxwell which ended up making a difference of at least 30 - 40 runs. Having said that, India lost the plot in the last few overs with Mitchell Johnson smashing 27 off 9 to take Australia to 328. Given an option, Australia would have taken that total 9 / 10 times at the start of play.

After a good spell of overs between 38-45 overs, Australia managed an excellent 57 off the last 5 to setup a fantastic chase for India. India will be counting hugely on Virat Kohli to dig in to get the job done. Here are what the numbers have to say for the rest of the game:

1. Virat Kohli has scored 14 off his 22 centuries chasing. Of those 14 centuries, India have won 13. So, India will really be hoping Kohli continues in that vain and gets India gunning towards that 329 score that Australia has set.

2. Shikhar Dhawan will be the key opening the innings. Despite Dhawan’s fantastic form, he has had issues with the short ball even in this tournament. You could be rest assured, Mitchell Johnson & Mitchell Starc will not be shy to get a couple at Dhawan’s throat. For India’s sake though, they have won every game in which Shikhar Dhawan has scored 50+ and they will be hoping for him to come good today.

3. India have only won 1 ODI against Australia out of the 13 played between the two sides at the Sydney Cricket Ground. That victory, as mention earlier was in the Commonwealth Bank Final in 2008 when Sachin Tendulkar graced us with his wonderful century.

4. Australia have not lost a single World Cup final. They have played 6 off them. The only final that they have not won was the epic Semi - Final encounter versus South Africa in 1999.

5. Australia are also the first team to score 300 in a Semi-Final encounter in a Cricket World Cup. Never has that been done before, and needless to mention, India will rewrite the history books if they get there.

6. India are 1 -1 with Australia, in knockout games. Australia beat India emphatically in that Finals encounter in 2003 when Ricky Ponting set Wanderers alight with his blistering 140. India though, beat Australia in the Quarter Final of the 2011 with Yuvraj Singh & Suresh Raina took them home.

7. 7 out of 10 games have been won by teams batting second in day and night matches at the SCG.

8. India’s opening stand averages 18.14 against Australia at the SCG in 14 innings. The last century stand against Australia came at the SCG in 2004.

9. India’s middle order has been fantastic right through this tournament. They average a massive 82 in overs between 11 to 40 in this World Cup.

10. India are the only team to have not lost a single wicket in the batting power play in this World Cup. India have scored at a fantastic clip of 7.4 per over.

11. Mitchell Johnson who smashed India in the last few overs, has taken 41 wickets against India. That is the most he has taken against any team. Suresh Raina has been dismissed the most by Mitchell Johnson (5 times). Raina & Dhawan can both expect to be peppered by Johnson.

12. Mitchell Starc’s strike rate is 15.6 this World Cup. That is the second best for a bowler who has taken at least 10 wickets in any World Cup.

13. This stat should worry a few Indians, Virat Kohli’s batting average in ODI against Australia in Australia is 18.80. He has scored just 94 runs in six innings. Kohli has got a lot of runs against Australia, it’s just that he has not done it against them in Australia.

He & 1.3 billion Indians will be hoping that changes today.

Here is something interesting that’s just propped up, India have won 38 off their 40 games when MS Dhoni has managed to carry his bat through without being dismissed. 1.3 Billion fans will be hoping MSD can pull a rabbit out of the hat for their sake.