South Africa v West Indies 1st Test Prediction & Betting Tips
| South Africa v West Indies 2014-15 | ||
South Africa
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vs | West Indies
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|
ScheduleWednesday, 17 December 2014 at 08:30 GMT / 08:30 UK / 14:00 IST VenueSuperSport Park, Centurion |
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The world no.1 team in the ICC Test ranking, South Africa, will be playing three Tests against West Indies who is holding the 8th spot on the table. The Proteas have secured 3353 points from 27 Tests and has a rating of 124 whereas the Windies appeared in 26 games, held 1962 points with 75 rating. South Africa visited Zimbabwe in August and won the only Test against the home side by a hefty margin of nine wickets whereas West Indies defeated Bangladesh 2-0 in their home series in September, 2014. Both countries have faced each other 25 times in the longest version of the game, the Proteas have won 16, lost three while six of them ended in a draw. It is going to be an interesting series where the home side has a clear edge but the tourists will provide a good fight.
Players to watch
The strong batting line up of the Proteas comprises Hashim Amla, AB de Villiers, Quinton de Kock, Faf du Plessis, Alviro Petersen and Dean Elgar. Dale Steyn, Vernon Philander, Morne Morkel, Robin Peterson and Kyle Abbott form a dangerous bowling unit.
Marlon Samuel along with Devon Smith opened their arms by plundering 203 and 174 runs vs. South African Invitation XI. Shivnarine Chanderpaul, Kraigg Brathwaite, Darren Bravo, Denesh Ramdin and Assad Fudadin are capable of exhibiting positive batting. The Caribbeans carry a fine bowling battery which consists Kemar Roach, Jerome Taylor, Jason Holder, Shannon Gabriel and Sulieman Benn.
Time & Venue
Wednesday, December 17 – Sunday December 21, 2014 @ 08:30 GMT, 10:30 local at SuperSport Park, Centurion.
Weather
Mostly sunny during five days with the temperatures around 15-26ᵒC.
Toss
The winning skipper will find comfortable while batting first.
The Pitch
The surface is supposed to be one of the fastest one in the country and the batsmen, on the other hand will also enjoy batting since the ball comes to bat on a reasonable height.
Teams
South Africa – (From) Hashim Amla (C), AB de Villiers, Quinton de Kock, Faf du Plessis, Alviro Petersen, Dean Elgar, Kyle Abbott, Temba Bavuma, Morne Morkel, Robin Peterson, Vernon Philander, Kasigo Rabada, Dale Steyn, Stiaan van Zyl
West Indies – (From) Denesh Ramdin (C), Sulieman Benn, Jermaine Blackwood, Kraigg Brathwaite, Shivnarine Chanderpaul, Darren Bravo, Assad Fudadin, Sheldon Cottrell, Shannon Gabriel, Jason Holder, Leon Johnson, Kemar Roach, Marlon Samuels, Jerome Taylor, Chadwick Walton, Devon Smith,
Prediction
Team South Africa will be the favourite to win the opening Test.
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Munna Bhai wrote tips "Live Trading Tips at innings break" for South Africa v England
16 Feb @ 02:20 pm
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Munna Bhai commented “I was here, just busy making shitload of money from trading. I've given report above just follow that...” on South Africa vs England 3rd T20I Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview
15 Feb @ 07:10 pm
Munna Bhai,
Are you suggesting to back WI at higher odds and the lay if it shortens a bit. It seems easier then to do Bhai....suppose i back WI at current odds and SA bats and odds move to 15..20...i back that time but then what if odds carry on to go till 25..30...40 and then shortens to 10....you need a bit of bank if u want to back it all the way down from 13 to 50 if it goes and you dont know how much it will shorten if it does.Its very tricky Bhai and you can get trapped very easily , of course not you but many like me.
Regards,
Vivek
Did you red my blog post http://munnabhai.net/sports-betting-profits/over-9k-of-profit-on-australia-v-india-1st-test.html
See the 2nd screenshot. That's open secret if you can figure it out.
Bhai,
I have gone through it many a times but the tragedy is not able to balance tarazu, i guess i can't think ahead of the match and put on odds which market has already nullified ....as you have said many a times as it is almost impossible to balance tarazu on football matches until you have mastered it , but in test matches it can bebut still i can't...don't know where i am not going right
What goes up comes down and what sinks at the bottom will surface again. Consider this. SA bats first, WI odds will rock climb if score is mounting. Let's say they are close to 500 runs and either declare or bowled out. Let's predict what comes next. WI will either collapse or will put some resistant and score decent runs, let's say 300 or so. Can WI collapse let's say in less than 100 runs? It's not going to happen so easily. So we have to rule out complete collapse which leaves us only one option and that is WI will bat and score runs if not 500 but at least 300. This 300 is jackpot. When SA was batting and scoring runs WI odds should have touched 50.0 marks this 50 is not going to stay forever. During WI batting it will come down that's for sure as we have already ruled out collapse. As soon as it starts to come down we have green provided you had backed WI at higher odds all the way till the peak. With 300 runs in WI innings we will have WI odds around 10.0. Do the math for profit from 50.0 to 10.0. This is theory. In practical your average odds will not be 50 but around 20 or so which still is a lot of profit against 10.0. This is one strategy to back underdog if underdog is not a true underdog. I've said it before for AUS v IND test match and whatever I said came to true in the 1st Test. On my blog I showed you the graph as well. I backed India all the way up to 55.0 and had backed till 100 and beyond that. My average odds came around 20 and when India were solid I was greened up till neck.
The secret to this strategy is to keep backing underdog after every 4 ticks or so in binary. £2 on 13, £4 on 15, £8 on 20 and so on. not much of a risk. You have 5 days to recover if things go bad.
I've never lost a single penny in a Test match. I even made profit on fixed odds bookies before I switched to BF. I've uploaded my profit spreadsheet and have sent to you guys as well. All those are from fixed odds bookies. Making money on Test matches is just piece of cake at
Betfair .
Thanks a ton Bhai for this explanation....i will try tarazu by paper trading on the test matches starting tomorow.I had seldom placed bets on test matches when i was on fixed odds site and never thought they can be the most value bet in comparison to T20 and ODI, but here on betfair and with your guidance its altogether a different story.
Eagerly waiting for tennis season to kick start after new year to apply these strategies that you have shared since i feel more comfortable and had some profit(rest in all other sports it was all loss) even when i was doing on fixed odds(Bet 365)
PS: btw i liked that tennis match example on your profit spreadsheet the most.Just wish i can replicate that in days to come.Thanks again
Munna bhai we need your help !!! now they offering 55.00 for West indies ! what should be a best idea in this case ? just back and trade or wait for 1st inn ??
Munna bhai, ur trading prediction come true.. South africa bat 1st and odd almost reached 60 !!! what could a best move ??? place bet and start trade or just wait ?
MUNNa bhai , pls give some more information and trading status after 2day !!!! West Indies can play at lest 350 ?? ! Pls gve some prediction !!
I collected as high as 190.0 odds for WI at
Betfair and now waiting for WI to start scoring some runs. I'll hit the jackpot as soon as they score 250+. Worst case scenario is if WI collapse in less than 200 runs or so which is unlikely to happen. If WI are stable then match is heading towards draw. Weather doesn't look too good as we have already seen today. Thunderstorm is predicted for tomorrow so it looks like we will have no action on Friday which leaves SA 2 days to bowl out WI 2 times which is difficult if not impossible.
Munna bhai did u get any win on this game ??? pls upload your snapshot !!! this game very hard for me ( one way traffic ) ......
I always win. I've already uploaded plenty of snapshots on my blog. I've nothing more new to show, all is already shown.