Swansea vs Liverpool Prediction - A Complicated Test For The Reds

Joel Amorim Mar 14, 2015 21 Comments 67,803 views
English Premier League 2014-15
Swansea City
Swansea City
vs Liverpool
ScheduleMonday, 16 March 2015 at 19:00 GMT / 19:00 UK / 00:30 IST
VenueLiberty Stadium (Swansea)

Next Monday, 16th of March 2015, the super Liverpool will travel to Wales to measure forces with Swansea at Liberty Stadium for round 29 of the English Premier League. The Reds are on an fantastic streak and they will try to extend their good moment on a predictably complicated clash with Swansea, who are usually a very complicated team when playing at home.

Will Coutinho continue to spread his magic against Swansea next Monday?
Will Coutinho continue to spread his magic against Swansea next Monday?

Liverpool’s recent good form is creating an understandable fuss on their supporters who are now fairly more optimistic regarding what the team may still achieve this season. Despite the team’s home draw, last weekend, against Blackburn for the FA Cup Quarter-finals, a match that the Reds have controlled from the first to the last minute, Liverpool have a fantastic streak of wins on Premier League matches and have their head coach, Brendan Rodgers, to thank for that. The Northern Irish boss has managed once again to rebuild a team that had caved in with the departure of their most important player, Luis Suarez, last Summer. The team’s dependency on the Uruguayan striker was a known fact, but Rodgers has found a way to change things and it is fair to say that now Liverpool are a solid and well structured team that does not seem to depend on one single player anymore.

Next Monday’s match at Liberty Stadium will definitely not be an easy one for the Reds, especially if we have in mind, for example, what happened to Manchester United during their recent travel to Wales. For that particular clash, Brendan Rodgers will most certainly not be able to rely on the contribution of Lucas, Jones, Flanagan and Ibe, all sidelined due to injury.

As for Swansea, the Welsh team has already proven to be fairly inconsistent so far this season but they will certainly look to cause Liverpool a major upset next Monday.

Two weeks ago, the Swans succumbed at the hands of Tottenham at White Hart Lane, 3-2, thus conceding their tenth defeat of the season. The defeat at London put an end to a very positive streak for Garry Monk’s boys, that included three wins on five matches, one of them against Manchester United at Liberty Stadium.

For the upcoming clash against Liverpool, Garry Monk is not yet certain if he will be able to rely on the contribution of the powerful French striker Bafetimbi Gomis, who has only returned to training two days ago, after fainting at White Hart Lane in his team’s match against the Spurs.


Stats: W-2 L-2 D-1

Recent Form - LWWLD


Stats: W-3 L-1 D-1

Recent Form - DWWLW

Possible Line-ups

Swansea (4-3-3) – Fabianski - Naughton - Fernandez - Ashley Williams - Taylor - Ki Sung - Sigurdsson - Cork - Shelvey - Routledge - Gomis

Liverpool (3-4-3) – Mignolet - Lovren - Skrtel - Can - Johnson - Henderson - Sterling - Markovic - Coutinho - Sturridge - Lallana


Swansea 1 Liverpool 2

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21 Responses to “ Swansea vs Liverpool Prediction - A Complicated Test For The Reds ”
  1. munna bhai one question for you which one is better to trade on cricket or football which is the one on which safer trades can be executed more often

    • Fuck Cricket, trade on Football as there are hundreds of matches every day and you have it 365 days of a year. Cricket is fucked up for trading. It's so unpredictable that none of strategy will work for you unless you have mastered the art of predicting Cricket. Or if you want more profit then jump into UK/Ireland Horse Racing which is where traders make serious money.

      • munna bhai please forgive my ameateur questions but will backing the favourite horse and laying it while in-play work mostly in any horse market or there is no such thing

        • You don't want to mess with in-play betting for Horse Racing. Odds fluctuate so fast that even a super computer can't catch it. All your bets must be placed before race starts. The in-play betting is for a strategy where you know what you are doing and place unmatched bet which can match during in-play. E.g. Assume that a fav horse's odds is 2.3 just before start and you think it's odds can jump to 2.5 and it's strong fav to win. So you place your bet @ 2.5 and make it unmatched and keep the bet. If odds go up then your bet will be matched.

          • yes bhai
            and maybe when its matched @2.5 for back
            should i lay when it goes down and make guaranteed profit or
            should this totally be either a back or lay just before the race starts and ignore after that

            • That's my limit to tell the strategy beyond that it's your guts. If you feel you have got balls of steel and can back underdog all the way then do so. If you believe in taking less risk like me then take small profit on both sides as soon as you can and run. Do all the business in the first innings if you can for less risk.

              • ok bhai dont want to piss u off so last question
                back and lay the same horse before the race starts
                and wait for it to get matched this is my strategy will it work please last questions wont bother you after this thank you

                and do u use betangel

                • Dude keep asking, I don't get pissed off. I'm the idiot who likes helping others for free.

                  Yes you can do that. Even I do that for 2-3 points profit in each race.

                  I use BetTrader which is simple and just does the job.

                  • thank you so much bhai for your unrestricted support just love you bhai
                    thank you so much for the help

                  • munnabhai, the link of bettrader is not working can you please suggest the alternate link. does it have paid subscription?

                    I used Traderline free for two months and now require to pay subscription fee, if you suggest any alternate would be great help munnabhai.

                    • All such software will be paid only as BetfairBetfair charges developers to use their API. Most of them will have free trial period which you can use to try. Google for such software and you will find plenty. Choose the one which suits you.

                      I'm working on developing my own software but it's going to take a lot of time and effort to make it live for public. Before making it live I've to personally use it for long time to make sure it works perfectly.

  2. thank you so much munna bhai for your advice
    but i have a little bit of experience with cricket and football
    but horse racing i ll have to do it from scratch
    any advices please on how to get started
    i mean the predictions and stuff
    i am just interested in trading the sport does not matter to me
    so always ready to learn a new one
    please help me bhai

    • Bunch of horses run in a race, one horse wins. What strategy do you need for this? Just back the horse which is likely to win or lay the one which is unlikely to win. You have to watch the horse racing, study odds vs which one wins and then make up some strategy and stick to that. You should not follow anyone else's strategy as it will not work for you.

      • Munnabhai, Football main trading ka strategy kaise banete hai aap, please samjhaye.

        Even though analysis are strong but when goal not happened till 60-70 minute, i did several mistakes of cash out in past ( due to lack of experience in trading) and end up in the losses. Though international football are very predictable but league matches are very sometime unpredictable mainly english leagues.

        Please advise what is the best way to bet on football.

        Thank you once again munnabhai.

        • You can never make profit by in-play betting by backing/laying a combination of markets hoping that it will work always. It simply doesn't work. The reason is that BetfairBetfair odds are well calibrated by machine (computers) and they always move in sync to one another so you will never have any chance to make any profit from any of these markets.

          The only way to make profit from Football is to bet with time. Time is the only thing which bookies can't control and can't predict. For e.g. They can predict how many goals can be scored in a Football match but they can never predict when these goals could be scored. They can narrow down with past records but again they can't predict it with 100% accuracy. This is the only thing which you can exploit to make profit.

          How do you exploit this opportunity us up you your own observation and comfort. You can do it in-play or do it in a series of matches.

          Simplest one is to scalp U2.5 goals which works most of the time and then starts to fail in long term. This is just an example. Then there are various other ways.

          Only 1 out of 10 matches end in 0-0 so you can just lay 0-0 in all Football matches with odds < 9.0 and you will win in long term. Soon you will realize that this strategy might not work in long term as you will not always get 0-0 odds < 9.0. And if you fail 2 in a row then you will give up.

          So these are just the clues how to tame Football markets and where it all fails.

          I can go only this far. You will have to do your own home work and come up with something which works for you and makes profit.

          Then there is LTFD (Lay The Fucking Draw - my own term derived from LTD - Lay The Draw) which doesn't work any more. It used to work in the past but BF fucked it up after seeing many punters milking money.

          Just remember never to follow any one else's strategy. All those assholes are BF agents who flood the market with false strategies which work on paper but never work in reality. All such strategies are manipulated by using past data and made to look like a profit making strategy.

          • Bhai what about Tennis Trading.I have been observing markets for past one and half years of almost all ATP and WTA but still not able to work out with any sort of strategy, yeah some here and there works for me.These days scalping serves is of no use , the game has evolved or courts have changed or players don't know but leave aside WTA even in ATP service breaks and then return break occurs very easily and also am not comfortable scalping serves.
            Can any strategy be developed for Tennis and does it realy works?
            Can long term profit can be made by swing trading ? Even i make profits by it in some matches here come 2-3 bad matches and wipe out all the profits. Boond boond kar ke jodo aur ek saath sab khallas?Please suggest Bhai.

            • one more question Bhai.
              The ebook "Dynamic Tennis Trading" by Peter Scott in which he gives 5 strategies with real life examples and profits and losses is of any use. I mean can i buy and paper trade the strategy for some months and test it or its not worth for that also.
              I have searched all over the net thinking i can get it in free but was amazed to find i could not.It is firmly protected or no one has put the PDF of it over the net although the book was released long back

              • You can try who knows it works for you if it really works for him. I've never bothered to try anyone else's strategy which is behind pay wall. If it really works then everyone would have been be rich by this time and since not everyone is rich it proves that it just one of all those crap which these people propagate on the Internet. The examples which that guy takes are those examples which have worked. You can't just apply any strategy to any match and expect it to work it never does. Even if we assume that these strategies work for him then he must have been applying them only for selected markets which he feels are going to bring profit. It comes with experience. There is no strategy which works blindly on all markets.

                There is no strategy which is not known to anyone who follows any sport closely. If you follow any sport you will immediately create some strategies on your own which is what these guys do. Then they find out sooner or later that it's not going to work in long term so they give up. And then they realize that they can make more money by selling it to newbies than wasting their own money on following these strategies.

                So good luck.

      • Munnabhai, Odds study kar ne ke liye koi site ho to please recommend kare.

        I tried to check on betfair but no luck so far. please suggest kariye

        • BetfairBetfair that's best site to study odds. you have to study live matches. Historical data can help too but first do the live ones then search for historical data.

          • Munnabhai, thank you once again for such a valuable information from your end.

            Honestly, you should open academy for student like us :-) your advise are very meaningful and realistic and thats encourage me to believe in the bet.

            Yes i just able to find betfair historical odds but as you suggest i will also start recording real time data for odds trends :-)

            Thank you very much munnabhai

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